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Who Will Win The BNP Paribas Open 2024 Men’s Singles Title?

08 Mar 2024
Nikhil Kalro 08 Mar 2024
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  • Top tennis stars like Djokovic, Alcaraz, and Sinner headline the 2024 BNP Paribas Open.
  • Jannik Sinner is the favorite due to his recent winning streak and formidable form.
  • Top seeds face competition from up-and-coming players ranked outside the top five.
Jannik Sinner BNP
Jannik Sinner in action at the BNP Paribas Open 2023. (Getty Images)
Top Tennis professionals from around the globe are set for the first ATP Masters of the season in Indian Wells, California.
  • Novak Djokovic – The Top Seed
  • Carlos Alcaraz – The Second Seed
  • Jannik Sinner – The Third Seed
  • Daniil Medvedev - The Fourth Seed
  • Andrey Rublev – The Fifth Seed
  • The Top Pick For The 2024 BNP Paribas Open – Men’s Singles
Top contenders like Novak Djokovic, Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, and more will aim to add another trophy to their cabinet by winning the BNP Paribas Open 2024. While the top three seeds will also be the top favorites to win the competition, the ATP 1000 event could also have a surprise winner who is ranked outside the top three

Novak Djokovic – The Top Seed

The dream of winning a 25th Grand Slam title at the 2024 Australian Open came crashing down for Novak Djokovic in the competition’s semifinal after the world no. 1 lost against the eventual champion, Jannik Sinner. Djokovic won the competition last year, and a successful defense would have taken his singles title tally to 99.

The top seed struggled with an illness during the early stages of the Australian Open but breezed past Dino Prizmic and Alexei Popyrin in the first two rounds and dropped just one set. Djokovic won without dropping a set against Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Adrian Mannarino in the next two rounds.

Taylor Fritz was the top seed’s opponent in the quarterfinal, and the Serbian defeated the young American 7-6, 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 to set up a clash with Sinner in the semis and eventually lost 6-1, 6-2, 6-7, 6-3. After failing to defend his title in Australia, Djokovic will be hungry for a win at Indian Wells, a tournament he withdrew from last year because he was unvaccinated.

Carlos Alcaraz – The Second Seed

The 2024 ATP season is off to a nightmarish start for Carlos Alcaraz. The world no. 2 not only faced defeat at the 2024 Australian Open but also had a disappointing run on his favorite clay surface in two consecutive competitions. The Spaniard was blanked in the semifinals of the 2024 Argentina Open by the tournament’s third seed and world no. 24, Nicolas Jarry.

A few days later, Alcaraz wanted to make things right at the 2024 Rio Open. However, he suffered an ankle injury after just two games in the opening round against Thiago Monteiro. The Spaniard tried to continue but could not and was forced to retire from the match and tournament.

Alcaraz defeated Richard Gasquet, Lorenzo Sonego, Juncheng Shang, and Miomir Kecmanovic at the Australian Open to reach the quarterfinals. During this run, the world no. 2 dropped just one set before world no. 6 Alexander Zverev beat him 6-1, 6-3, 6-7, 6-4. Alcaraz won the Indian Wells Open last year and will be desperate to defend his crown this year. 

Jannik Sinner – The Third Seed

The 2024 Australian Open winner, Jannik Sinner, is dominating the Men’s Singles category this year. The young Italian has not lost a single match this year. Sinner reached the semis at the Australian Open without dropping a single set. During this stint, the world no. 3 blanked Botic van de Zandschulp, Jesper De Jong, Sebastian Baez, Karen Khachanov, and Andrey Rublev.

He ended Djokovic’s title defense by handing the Serbian a 1-6, 2-6, 6-7, 3-6 defeat in the semifinal to set up a final encounter with world no. 4 Daniil Medvedev. In a thrilling finale, Sinner came back from two sets down to defeat the Russian 3-6, 3-6, 6-4, 6-4, 6-3, and clinched his first Grand Slam title.

The world no. 3 also participated in the ABN Amro Open in Rotterdam. Throughout the ATP 500 event, Sinner dropped just one set. He beat Alex De Minaur 7-5, 6-4 in the final to clinch his 12th Singles title. In California, the world no. 3 will aim to extend his prolific winning run and claim the second Masters title of his professional career.

Daniil Medvedev - The Fourth Seed

After losing the final of the 2024 Australian Open, Daniil Medvedev was eager to clinch his first title of the season in Dubai. However, the Russian was beaten by world no. 14 Ugo Humbert in the semifinals of the 2024 Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships. Medvedev was beaten in straight sets 7-5, 6-3.

The Russian beat Alexander Shevchenko, Lorenzo Sonego, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in Dubai to reach the semis. Neither Plan A nor Plan B worked for Medvedev against Humbert, as the Frenchman blanked him. The world no. 4 had won the ATP 500 tournament last year and failed to defend it this year.

Last year in California, Medvedev was very close to winning the Indian Wells Open, but Alcaraz beat the 28-year-old in straight sets 6-3, 6-2, to win his eighth ATP Singles title. After a frustrating start to the new year and frustrating memories fueling the fire, Medvedev is expected to be a top title contender at the 2024 BNP Paribas Open.

Andrey Rublev – The Fifth Seed

Andrey Rublev has been the most active of the top five ranked players. The Russian has competed in five competitions but has only won one. The solitary victory came in the first ATP tournament of the year— the 2024 Hong Kong Open. The world no. 5 defeated Emil Ruusuvuori 6-4, 6-4 in the final to clinch his 15th singles title.

After gaining momentum in Hong Kong, the focus shifted to Australia, where Rublev reached the quarterfinals before eventual champion Jannik Sinner defeated him in straight sets. However, the Russian reached an important milestone of 300 career wins during the tournament.

He participated in the ABN Amro Open in Rotterdam but lost 6-7, 6-4, 3-6 against the tournament’s fifth seed Alex De Minaur. In Doha, Rublev suffered another early exit in the second round after a straight-sets loss to Jakub Mensik. In Dubai, he was disqualified for abusing a line judge during his semifinal encounter against Alexander Bublik.

The Top Pick For The 2024 BNP Paribas Open – Men’s Singles

Multiple competitors outside the top five ranks can win this tournament. The list includes players like Casper Ruud, Holger Rune, Hubert Hurkacz, and more. But each of the top five seeds has a different force driving their desire to win.

Among the top five, the top favorite will be Jannik Sinner. The Italian is in formidable form and shows no signs of slowing down. At this point, only Novak Djokovic can stop the world no. 3. However, that also seems improbable, and Sinner has a glorious opportunity not just to win the Indian Wells Open but also to complete the Sunshine Double in Miami.

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