Wimbledon 2025 Semifinal Predictions: Tips for Alcaraz vs Fritz & Djokovic vs Sinner

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4 hours ago

Site Editor 4 hours ago

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Alcaraz expected to win against Fritz
Djokovic favored over Sinner
Streaming available on Bet365 and Stake

The Wimbledon 2025 semifinals feature a battle of legends and challengers — who will book their place in Sunday’s final? (credit: Getty)

Wimbledon 2025 Semifinal Predictions & Tips

Four players, two epic semifinals — and everything to play for on Centre Court. Can the underdogs topple the bookmaker favorites? Sinner faces the greatest Wimbledon player of the era in Novak Djokovic, while Fritz takes on defending champion Carlos Alcaraz.

We break down both matchups with sharp predictions, key momentum angles, and the smartest bets to consider before play begins.

Wimbledon 2025 Semifinal Predictions & Tips
Match 1: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
Match 2: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic
Where to Watch Live

Match 1: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz

📅 Friday, July 11 | 🕒 Centre Court, 1st match of the day

Key Talking Points

Fritz is making his maiden Wimbledon semifinal appearance, but he enters as a significant underdog.
The American is 0-2 against Alcaraz, and has yet to win a set in those meetings (0-4).
His record against the elites (Sinner, Alcaraz, Djokovic) stands at a brutal 1-16 — a sign he’s struggled to rise against elite opposition.
Alcaraz is the two-time defending Wimbledon champion and currently on a 23-match winning streak, making him the hottest player on tour.
He’s also won 30 of his last 31 matches on grass, including the memorable 2023 and 2024 Wimbledon title runs.

Our Prediction

Winner: Alcaraz

Scoreline Tip: Alcaraz to win 3-0

Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Betting Tips

✅ Alcaraz -1.5 sets

✅ Under 39.5 total games

✅ Alcaraz to win in straight sets (3-0)

⚠️ Fritz’s best chance is a tiebreak early — live overs possible if first set is tight

Bonus Thought

Unless Fritz redlines his serve and lands >70% first serves, this could feel more like a masterclass than a contest. Alcaraz’s current momentum is historically dominant.

Match 2: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic

📅 Friday, July 11 | 🕒 Centre Court, 2nd match of the day

Key Talking Points

Djokovic has not lost a Wimbledon semifinal since 2012, when Roger Federer stopped him.
Sinner is riding a three-match winning streak in Grand Slam semifinals, showing newfound big-stage maturity.
The Italian has never reached a Wimbledon final — his only previous semifinal here was a 2023 loss to this same opponent.
Djokovic’s recent fitness recovery and ability to manage tempo across five sets remains unmatched.

Our Prediction

Winner: Djokovic

Scoreline Tip: Djokovic to win 3-1

Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐☆☆

Betting Tips

✅ Over 3.5 sets

✅ Djokovic -2.5 games

🔄 Value in live betting if Sinner snatches a set early — Djokovic often starts slow but finishes ruthless

Bonus Thought

Unless Sinner finds a way to disrupt Novak’s rhythm on return games, this could mirror their previous clashes at Wimbledon — competitive early, but clinical late.